Last edited 19 Jul 2022

Climate adaptation

Climate 7622 350 .jpg
https://data.giss.nasa.gov//gistemp/maps/

Contents

[edit] Introduction

Climate adaptation is a term often used in tandem with climate mitigation to describe the process of adjustment to current and future climates.

In terms of building design, the term resilience is often used to describe how well a building might withstand these changes. This can mean adjusting allowances for average and peak external temperatures, particularly in hotter months, but also considering higher wind speeds and driving rain and should be considered in tandem with potential knock-on effects such as increased cooling loads.

Some example studies from the UK government funded competition Design for Future Climate (D4FC) are useful as reference points, as well as BREEAM Adaptation to climate change and BRE Design for Future Climate - Developing an Adaptation Strategy.

[edit] UK climate projections

Globally the climate is changing. In the UK these changes have been recorded by the Met Office Hadley Centre since the 1990’s. This work has led to projections being issued, such as the UK climate projections in 2009 (UKCP09), which can be considered as a key resource informing regulations and policy-making in the.

Although projections are limited in their robustness they represent one of the best sources of knowledge we have. The Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) that was used in these projections did not consider the potential impact of mitigation measures, and so to incorporate this a set of pathways projections were developed. Ref https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/approach/collaboration/ukcp/index

[edit] Representative concentration pathways

Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are used as a method for projecting within a certain set of scenarios used for modelling. The emission scenarios are based on the difference between incoming and outgoing radiation (caused by emissions), these have been set at 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 watts per square metre (Wm-2). The names of the Representative Concentration Pathways reflect these with RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0. and RCP8.5. Each pathway results in a different change in global mean temperature; 1.6 (0.9-2.3), 2.4 (1.7-3.2), 2.8 (2.0-3.7), 4.4 (3.2-5.4) degrees C respectively for the years between 2081-2100.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/research/ukcp/ukcp18-guidance---representative-concentration-pathways.pdf

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