Global Construction Outlook to 2022: Q3 2018 Update
Publisher expects the pace of expansion in the global construction industry to average 3.6% a year over the forecast period (2018-2022). In real value terms (measured at constant 2017 prices and US$ exchange rates), global construction output is forecast to rise to US$12.9 trillion in 2022, up from US$10.8 trillion in 2017.
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There are intensifying downside risks to global economic growth, notably stemming from the erupting trade war between the US and China, but the global economy will continue to expand in the range of 2.5% to 3% a year in 2018-2022. The tightening in monetary policy in major markets will push up the cost of borrowing, but given that interest rates are generally at or near historical lows, this process is not expected to have a major impact on construction activity during the early part of the forecast period. Construction output growth will improve slightly to 3.7% in 2019-2020, before easing back in the latter part of the forecast period, reflecting trends in some of the largest markets, notably China and the US.
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