HVAC and smart energy post-Brexit - Revision history

Editor at 12:53, 1 March 2021

2021-03-01T12:53:36Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:53, 1 March 2021
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	* The SME's updated guide to Brexit		* The SME's updated guide to Brexit
	* Triggering article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon.		* Triggering article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon.
		+	* UK Brexit transition and uncertainty for the heating industry.
	* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]		* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]

	[[Category:DCN_News]] [[Category:DCN_Organisation]] [[Category:DCN_Product_Knowledge]] [[Category:DCN_Research,_Development_and_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]		[[Category:DCN_News]] [[Category:DCN_Organisation]] [[Category:DCN_Product_Knowledge]] [[Category:DCN_Research,_Development_and_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]

Designing Buildings at 07:53, 8 December 2020

2020-12-08T07:53:20Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 07:53, 8 December 2020
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	* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]		* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]

−	[[Category:~~Organisations~~]] [[Category:DCN_Organisation]] [[Category:~~Research_/_Innovation~~]] [[Category:DCN_Research,_Development_and_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:~~DCN_News~~]] [[Category:~~Products_~~/~~_components~~]] [[Category:~~DCN_Product_Knowledge~~]]	+	[[Category:DCN_News]] [[Category:DCN_Organisation]] [[Category:DCN_Product_Knowledge]] [[Category:DCN_Research,_Development_and_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]

Editor at 14:07, 27 September 2019

2019-09-27T14:07:05Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 14:07, 27 September 2019
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	--[[User:BSRIA\|BSRIA]]		--[[User:BSRIA\|BSRIA]]

−	~~= Find out more =~~	+	= Related articles on Designing Buildings Wiki =
−		+
−	=== Related articles on Designing Buildings Wiki ===	+

	* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki.		* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki.
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	* Smart technology.		* Smart technology.
	* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.		* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.
		+	* The SME's updated guide to Brexit
	* Triggering article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon.		* Triggering article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon.
	* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]		* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]

−	[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]	+	[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:DCN_Organisation]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:DCN_Research,_Development_and_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:DCN_News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]] [[Category:DCN_Product_Knowledge]]

Designing Buildings at 11:31, 2 October 2017

2017-10-02T11:31:54Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 11:31, 2 October 2017
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	* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki.		* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki.
	* Architects' Brexit statement.		* Architects' Brexit statement.
		+	* Brexit.
	* Brexit - the case for infrastructure.		* Brexit - the case for infrastructure.
	* Brexit Topic Guide.		* Brexit Topic Guide.

Designing Buildings at 08:25, 30 March 2017

2017-03-30T08:25:22Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 08:25, 30 March 2017
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	* Smart technology.		* Smart technology.
	* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.		* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.
		+	* Triggering article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon.
	* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]		* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]

	[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]		[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]

Designing Buildings at 09:50, 10 March 2017

2017-03-10T09:50:50Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 09:50, 10 March 2017
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	=== Related articles on Designing Buildings Wiki ===		=== Related articles on Designing Buildings Wiki ===

−	* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki	+	* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki.
		+	* Architects' Brexit statement.
		+	* Brexit - the case for infrastructure.
		+	* Brexit Topic Guide.
		+	* BSRIA Brexit white paper.
		+	* BSRIA calls for clarity following Brexit Article 50 High Court ruling.
		+	* BSRIA response to Brexit speech.
		+	* BSRIA response to Brexit white paper.
		+	* Overcoming the challenges of Brexit.
		+	* Post brexit, house building and construction remains a safe sustainable industry.
		+	* Post-Brexit vision for construction.
		+	* What does Brexit mean for construction?
	* Cyber threats to building automation and control systems.		* Cyber threats to building automation and control systems.
	* Domestic ventilation systems performance.		* Domestic ventilation systems performance.

Designing Buildings at 15:53, 14 September 2016

2016-09-14T15:53:07Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 15:53, 14 September 2016
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	= Introduction =		= Introduction =

−	On 14 September 2016, BSRIA released ~~its~~ first snapshot of the UK’s HVAC and smart energy ~~market for~~ products post-Brexit vote.	+	On 14 September 2016, BSRIA released a first snapshot of the UK’s HVAC (Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning) and smart energy products market post the Brexit vote.

−	~~Per annum, the~~ UK ~~product~~ market is estimated to be worth £4.5bn. Prior to the Brexit vote, market growth for 2016 was forecast to be a healthy 3.1%. However, BSRIA’s research ~~now~~ anticipates this will shrink to ~~a ‘meagre~~ 1.1%’ - a loss of £95 million ~~compared with the pre-Brexit view~~.	+	The UK HVAC and smart energy products market is estimated to be worth £4.5bn a year. Prior to the Brexit vote, market growth for 2016 was forecast to be a healthy 3.1%. However, BSRIA’s research anticipates this will shrink to 1.1% - a loss of £95 million.

	= Air conditioning =		= Air conditioning =
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	Growth has dropped from a very strong 12.8% down to 5.5%.		Growth has dropped from a very strong 12.8% down to 5.5%.

−	Project delays resulting from Brexit may have a small effect in 2016 but will mainly impact the market between 2017 and 2019. However, floor space statistics suggest a big growth in completed projects in 2017, so this will mask any Brexit effect until 2018. ~~Also,~~ some completions may now be delayed from 2016 to 2017 as a result of Brexit, hence the reduction in 2016 forecasts.	+	Project delays resulting from Brexit may have a small effect in 2016 but it will mainly impact the market between 2017 and 2019. However, floor space statistics suggest a big growth in completed projects in 2017, so this will mask any Brexit effect until 2018. But some completions may now be delayed from 2016 to 2017 as a result of Brexit, hence the reduction in 2016 forecasts.

	It is thought that the lowering of the pound will have a limited effect as the air conditioning market is mainly imported, so prices will rise or margins decrease. Packaged air conditioning is almost 100% imported from Asia and European factories, and there are only three chiller manufacturers in the UK.		It is thought that the lowering of the pound will have a limited effect as the air conditioning market is mainly imported, so prices will rise or margins decrease. Packaged air conditioning is almost 100% imported from Asia and European factories, and there are only three chiller manufacturers in the UK.

−	In contrast, over half of airside products are manufactured in the UK. Both fan coil and airside manufacturers expect to see ~~benefit~~ in margins, with perhaps an increase in the limited export market to Middle East and Commonwealth.	+	In contrast, over half of airside products are manufactured in the UK. Both fan coil and airside manufacturers expect to see an improvement in margins, with perhaps an increase in the limited export market to Middle East and Commonwealth.

	= Heating =		= Heating =

Editor at 14:33, 14 September 2016

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	= Introduction =		= Introduction =
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	* Smart technology.		* Smart technology.
	* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.		* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.
−	* World Air Conditioning market study.	+	* [[World_Air_Conditioning_market_study_2015\|World Air Conditioning market study.]]

	[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]		[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]

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[[File:HVAC.jpg]]

= Introduction =

On 14 September 2016, BSRIA released its first snapshot of the UK’s HVAC and smart energy market for products post-Brexit vote.

Per annum, the UK product market is estimated to be worth £4.5bn. Prior to the Brexit vote, market growth for 2016 was forecast to be a healthy 3.1%. However, BSRIA’s research now anticipates this will shrink to a ‘meagre 1.1%’ - a loss of £95 million compared with the pre-Brexit view.

= Air conditioning =

Growth has dropped from a very strong 12.8% down to 5.5%.

Project delays resulting from Brexit may have a small effect in 2016 but will mainly impact the market between 2017 and 2019. However, floor space statistics suggest a big growth in completed projects in 2017, so this will mask any Brexit effect until 2018. Also, some completions may now be delayed from 2016 to 2017 as a result of Brexit, hence the reduction in 2016 forecasts.

It is thought that the lowering of the pound will have a limited effect as the air conditioning market is mainly imported, so prices will rise or margins decrease. Packaged air conditioning is almost 100% imported from Asia and European factories, and there are only three chiller manufacturers in the UK.

In contrast, over half of airside products are manufactured in the UK. Both fan coil and airside manufacturers expect to see benefit in margins, with perhaps an increase in the limited export market to Middle East and Commonwealth.

= Heating =

Andrew Giles, Director of Worldwide Market Intelligence, BSRIA, said:

“Around 80% of the £2.2bn market is domestic boilers, water heaters and radiators. Renewable alternatives remain niche markets: heat pumps are falling with RHI having a limited impact. The main heating markets are saturated and over 90 per cent of sales for replacement and extensions/refurbishment.

“With the death of the Green deal and other schemes BSRIA had expected a flat market for heating but now expect a small proportion of consumers to delay going ahead with refurbishment because of the general uncertainty surrounding Brexit resulting in a drop of 1.2% in the market.

“The UK has the biggest boiler market in the world, by a considerable distance, with nearly 1.7 million boilers sold a year and this is expected to be the case until 2020.

“There are no longer any British owned boiler manufacturer companies in the UK: the boiler market is entirely controlled by EU-owned companies, with their headquarters elsewhere in the EU.

“The EU boiler manufacturers are well established in the UK market and three-quarters of sales are produced here but there are a significant number of companies importing, who will be suffering from the lower pound. Furthermore, some imported component costs may rise. The UK boiler market is sold nearly entirely through wholesalers and is already one of the most price competitive markets in Europe.

“Also, post-Brexit, subsequent trade deals between the UK and the EU could prove difficult once Brexit negotiations are defined and Article 50 is invoked. Because of likely increased red tape, importing boilers or components into the UK could be harder.

“In the short term, companies manufacturing in the UK will gain competitive advantage in the UK because of the lower pound, which is positive.

“The long term remains unclear. As such: this is a risk for the UK economy. And, especially so if EU boiler manufacturers decide to ease their presence in the huge but challenging UK market.”

= Smart technologies =

Commercial fire and security and building control products account for 68% of the 1.6bn smart technologies market. These products are more likely to be put in towards the end of commercial projects.

It is thought that in 2017, the continued pull through of commercial projects nearing completion which were started two years ago will mask any further falls from Brexit, with almost no effect on fire which is regulation driven.

Building control products should follow a similar pattern to central plant but growth is lower as many sales are to public areas (health, education, central government).

Andrew added:

“For domestic controls the main markets are valves and actuators, thermostats and domestic controllers. This is a very large market ranging from simple thermostat and valves to very sophisticated smart home devices linking in with apps and other housing devices and services. It has a strong link with the heating market and is principally sold for refurbishment and replacement applications.

“There will be a maximum effect on the market in 2016 of 2% lower growth, a large chunk of which of which can be attributed to Brexit. Looking further ahead: the uncertainty could start to affect the market adversely in 2017 – but will be partly offset by a high level of project completions so – it will not be until 2018 that suppliers see the full implications.”

-----
This article was originally published by [https://www.bsria.co.uk/news/article/bsria-says-post-brexit-vote-hvac-smart-energy-falls-by-pound95-million/ BSRIA] in September 2016.

--[[User:BSRIA|BSRIA]]

= Find out more =

=== Related articles on Designing Buildings Wiki ===

* BSRIA articles on Designing Buildings Wiki
* Cyber threats to building automation and control systems.
* Domestic ventilation systems performance.
* Global building energy management systems market.
* HVAC.
* Smart technology.
* The future of the HVAC and building controls industry.
* World Air Conditioning market study.

[[Category:Organisations]] [[Category:Research_/_Innovation]] [[Category:News]] [[Category:Products_/_components]]